India’s GDP Has Not Overtaken Japan to Become 4th Largest and May Not Even by End 2025

1 day ago 6

India's GDP has not overtaken Japan to become 4th largest and may not even by end 2025: Prof. Arun Kumar, former Professor of Economics, Jawaharlal Nehru University, to Karan Thapar for The Wire. .......................................... One of India’s respected economists has categorically said that as of today (May 30th 2025) India’s GDP has not overtaken that of Japan to become the 4th largest in the world. The claim that it has done so is based on IMF projections and the IMF has made it clear this will only happen at the end of financial year 2025 which, for the IMF, is December the 31st, 2025. Prof. Arun Kumar says both the Prime Minister and the CEO of Niti Aayog jumped the gun when they claimed that India has already overtaken Japan to become the 4th largest economy in the world. They should have waited for approximately six months. That is what the IMF projections state. However, Prof. Arun Kumar, this time expressing his personal opinion, believes that even by the end of December 2025 India is unlikely to overtake Japan’s GDP and become the 4th largest economy in the world. This is because of the many concerns and questions about the way India calculates its GDP. In turn, the IMF uses India’s GDP to make its projections and any errors or inaccuracies in the way India calculates GDP will, therefore, also be reflected in the IMF projections. I will stop there and allow you to find out the reasons why Prof. Arun Kumar is skeptical of India overtaking Japan and becoming the 4th largest economy even by the end of December 2025 by watching the interview for yourself. His answers are detailed, factual, often reliant on percentages and figures and, therefore, you need to hear him directly. This is an interview you need to concentrate on. It is not difficult to follow but you do need to make an effort to understand the many points Prof. Kumar is making. Join The Wire's Youtube Membership and get exclusive content, member-only emojis, live interaction with The Wire's founders, editors and reporters and much more. Memberships to The Wire Crew start at Rs 89/month. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UChWtJey46brNr7qHQpN6KLQ/join

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